2011年4月5日星期二

Sliders: Falling for Quentin ... again

It's the plight of every Fantasy writer in the age of information overload.

How am I supposed to pick up on any trends after only three games?

It's not for the faint of heart, and if you're not careful with it, you'll end up destroying a good team. Most of what stands out right now is the product small sample size -- a whole 1.9 percent of the season -- and doesn't deserve any attention from Fantasy owners. Ryan Hanigan's 1.571 slugging percentage? Get real. Jon Lester's 8.44 ERA? Not buying it. Albert Pujols' .154 batting average? Come on already.

But for a handful of players, enough has happened to change the way Fantasy owners perceive them. And once again, Sliders is here to identify those players.

Over the course of a season, stuff changes. Players progress and regress faster than anyone could have predicted. Sometimes they just blow up out of nowhere. By the end of the year, your draft results should be like a foggy memory from the weirdest dream you've ever had. If not, if you haven't adjusted your thinking on players based on the way they've performed, you've probably gotten left in the dust.

But you don't have to do it alone. Sliders will track the changes in player value from start to finish, steering Fantasy owners away from ordinary hot and cold streaks and toward the performances that actually mean something. It's prediction based on reaction and more of a guessing game than an exact science. But it's important nonetheless.

Because come September, your draft won't matter nearly as much as how well you adjusted throughout the season.

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